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Middle powers and the global maritime order
Forget independence, or even capable partner with shared interests, AUKUS positions Australia as a manipulated middle power patsy in a regional and global contest.
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The fecklessness of Foreign Affairs
Apr 22
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Junotane
15
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Blaming Trump and Israel for America's woes
May 3
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Junotane
16
12
6
The use of nuclear weapons against Iran
Mar 31
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Junotane
13
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Trump in Beijing
May 9
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Junotane
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Recent posts
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Rules-based order confusion
Sometimes, I kind of wish strategists could just say what they think in real simple terms.
Jun 3
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Junotane
7
3
Middle power scholars and epistemic capture
Mark Carney’s ideas that middle powers can restore the liberal-international order have become gospel in some academic circles.
Jun 2
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Junotane
3
2
Korean neutrality
The real question then is not whether neutrality is desirable. The real question is whether under the international system, it is permissible.
May 29
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Junotane
3
2
3
Tributary or liberal-international - isn't it all just hierarchy?
“Tributary” versus “Liberal-international” - it’s positive and negative. One relationship is described as subordination; the other is celebrated as a…
May 28
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Junotane
5
2
Australia and Korea: nuclear subs and sovereignty
South Korea and Australia are pursuing nuclear-powered submarines at roughly the same historical moment, yet they are doing so with very different…
May 27
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Junotane
4
4
1
Mad Max Middle Power Australia
The year is 2046 and China is the gravitational center of the world - will Australia still be a middle power?
May 26
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Junotane
4
1
2
Middle powers can't hedge forever
The uncomfortable truth is that middle powers do not get to choose whether they live in a world shaped by great powers. They only choose how they…
May 25
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Junotane
3
1
3
South Korea is being prepped for the ring
As the second Trump administration finally turns to the Korean Peninsula, something uncomfortable is becoming obvious: U.S. policy hasn't changed at…
May 23
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Junotane
4
2
3
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North Korea
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The North Korea carnival is back
With little warning Trump told the world that he and Xi talked about North Korea and now the stage is again lighting up the liminal—the North Korea…
May 21
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Junotane
2
2
2
When the U.S. accepts North Korea's nukes
Recognition as a nuclear state creates confidence, and confident states behave differently from insecure states. How will Pyongyang change?
May 4
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Junotane
2
1
Counterfactual Korea: War or Peace had USFK left?
The value lies not in prediction, but in forcing us to see that the current order is neither natural nor permanent — and that futures start with the…
May 1
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Junotane
1
2
"What about North Korea? He’s a madman"
North Korea is not simply misunderstood in America, it is rendered unthinkable within both dominant and alternative frameworks.
Apr 24
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Junotane
2
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Fiction
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Counterfactual Korea: War or Peace had USFK left?
The value lies not in prediction, but in forcing us to see that the current order is neither natural nor permanent — and that futures start with the…
May 1
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Junotane
1
2
The narrowness of speculative fiction on Korea
The Korean War is the “Forgotten War,” and the peninsula remains stuck in a static conceptual role: a Cold War holdover, frozen in time
Mar 16
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Junotane
Storytelling in international relations
In international relations, the most influential book of the Cold War wasn’t a theoretical breakthrough - it was a pulp novel with a moral message
Mar 16
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Junotane
The Ugly American and Korea
Though the novel was set in the context of Southeast Asia during the Cold War, its insights into the importance of humility, cultural understanding, and…
Mar 16
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Junotane
1
Middle Powers
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Middle power scholars and epistemic capture
Mark Carney’s ideas that middle powers can restore the liberal-international order have become gospel in some academic circles.
Jun 2
•
Junotane
3
2
Tributary or liberal-international - isn't it all just hierarchy?
“Tributary” versus “Liberal-international” - it’s positive and negative. One relationship is described as subordination; the other is celebrated as a…
May 28
•
Junotane
5
2
Mad Max Middle Power Australia
The year is 2046 and China is the gravitational center of the world - will Australia still be a middle power?
May 26
•
Junotane
4
1
2
Middle powers can't hedge forever
The uncomfortable truth is that middle powers do not get to choose whether they live in a world shaped by great powers. They only choose how they…
May 25
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Junotane
3
1
3
Middle power futures beyond the baloney
Middle powers must survive in a world where nobody can permanently guarantee their security, prosperity, or strategic future.
May 18
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Junotane
3
3
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